Tempering the Terror of a Climate Doom Report


WPRI reporter Tim White tweeted that this New York Times article about the United Nations’ accelerated doom-saying about climate change is “truly terrifying.”  My response was to ask if this section (emphasis added) doesn’t set off his alarm bells:

Avoiding the most serious damage requires transforming the world economy within just a few years, said the authors, who estimate that the damage would come at a cost of $54 trillion. But while they conclude that it is technically possible to achieve the rapid changes required to avoid 2.7 degrees of warming, they concede that it may be politically unlikely.

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Look, one needn’t be a climate change skeptic to acknowledge the layers of assumptions that go into these scary warnings.  First, one must ignore the lack of warming over the last two decades and assume that the models will be more accurate going forward.  Then, one must assume that the change really does derive from human activity and that it’s possible to avert the worst.  Then, another wave assumptions comes with predictions about the effect on weather, creating soaking rains where that will be harmful and droughts where that would be harmful, all coming together in a way that doesn’t equalize the effects (by, for example, simply moving where farming must be done).  Add in the effect of technology and changes in energy production that have made the United States a leader in CO2 reduction.  And don’t forget that one must balance the estimated $54 trillion in costs from warming against whatever the cost would be to rework our economy — including an assessment of the people who bear those costs.

Put that all on a scale that pivots on the promise that giving more power to the people who brought the warning, and a tempered reaction to the terror is justified.

  • BasicCaruso

    “Americans for Prosperity, the political advocacy group funded by the libertarian billionaires Charles and David Koch, has made a point of campaigning against politicians who support a carbon tax.”

    What me worry? Ka-ching!

  • Rhett Hardwick

    I still remember when the “science was settled” and “all scientists agreed” that we would exhaust the world’s supply of petroleum on June 1, 1986. Not to mention the “coming ice age” being pushed by the same “NASA scientist” who now peddles global warming. The boy has cried wolf once too often.

  • Christopher C. Reed

    Every ten years the “experts” announce we have ten years to “do something serious” about “climate change”. Sometimes it’s the same expert, like that Hanson fellow who was Mr. Global Cooling before he became Mr. Global Warming. The only constant is that we consent to be ruled by a claque of unaccountable bureaucrats “for our own good”.

  • BasicCaruso

    Meanwhile back on planet Earth… why don’t these people just move, am i right?

    Hurricane Michael Pummels the Florida Panhandle