Eight months into the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown, let’s examine the goal of the lockdown, the critical matter of its effectiveness and the collateral damage it has caused.
The Governor needs to stop trying to control our lives.
On the latest episode of our Mikes with Mics, nationally renowned epidemiologist, Dr. Andrew Bostom, explained that an “un-hysterical” analysis of the data does not support the Governor’s actions, which he called “bogus.”
Graph by epidemiologist Dr. Andrew Bostom basis State of R.I. data
At her press conference currently ongoing, Governor Gina Raimondo is announcing new restrictions, including reduction from fifteen to ten at social gatherings; no spectators at any sports for next two weeks; and fines, including fines on households, saying she doesn’t want cases to “explode”.
You’d reasonably conclude from these serious measures and language that Rhode Island’s case positivity rate, the newest panic-promoting selling point of the lockdown, was at a recent high, wouldn’t you? In fact, as epidemiologist Dr. Andrew Bostom said yesterday on the R.I. Center for Freedom and Prosperity‘s “Mikes with Mics” and shows in his graph, above, the current, very modest rise in case positivity is actually lower than the modest rise of August 1.
Mark Zaccaria takes a break from the mire of politics to cast viewers’ eyes a little higher, to a somewhat bigger neighborhood.
Nobody needs to be told that we’re in divisive times, right now, but we hear way too little about the most sure solution.
We shouldn’t use science as a talisman to ward off criticism, especially when it isn’t clear what the science says.
Comparison of the Woodstock-era pandemic with COVID-19 has to take into account the ages of the population.
Just calling something “highest risk category” and saying there has been a “spike” induces fear.
As you probably know, the original justification for the COVID-19 lockdown was to prevent the overwhelming of hospitals. This never happened; not in Rhode Island nor in any state other than hotspot New York (where it got close); not even at the height of the pandemic. Click here to view Justin Katz’ latest, very informative tracking graph of COVID-19 trends in Rhode Island. You’ll note that hospitalizations in Rhode Island, in fact, peaked THREE WHOLE MONTHS AGO.
Keep this critical piece of information in mind as we move now to Rhode Island’s COVID-19 press conference yesterday.
Is it really the law that if the governor decrees an emergency at any point, she can then extend her enhanced power indefinitely into the future in 30-day increments, even when her moves become entirely precautionary?
The math of recent COVID hospitalization trends has flipped the projection from exponential increase back to gradual decline. Just like that.
The reason RI COVID-19 numbers have been doing things that make a simplistic model inapplicable are instructive as a lesson on the more-sophisticated models of the experts.
In the world of media and politics, ignoring reality in order to keep your preferred outcome a live possibility may be an option, but for the sake of a healthy reality it cannot be.
The attitude of fear that has been fostered by the presentation of COVID-19 to the public has created a terrible atmosphere in which to be making major life-and-society-affecting decisions.
The survival rate for COVID-19 is now in the range of 99.35% – 99.74%, per CDC data. But even this high rate is almost certainly on the conservative side as it does not include all unidentified cases, an important data point which scientists continue diligently to try to quantify.
Conversely, grimly, deaths from the lockdown have moved from projection to reality and are rising.
Americans are finding ourselves in a position of not knowing whom to trust on COVID-19.
If we see an increase in hospitalizations, it may very well be an indication that fewer people are dying, which is good, and that people are in the hospital for other reasons, which isn’t an indication that COVID is overwhelming our resources.
Today’s data release from the state brings more non-dramatic continuation of trends.
As nationwide deaths move COVID-19 toward loss of its “epidemic” status, Rhode Island continues to see improvement.
The number of new COVID-19 cases in RI was higher today than it’s been, but the number of tests was up, and we’re still under 100.
We’ll see where this goes, but it remains entirely plausible to expect that cases will continue on the increase while serious cases and deaths continue to decline in Texas, while Rhode Island continues on its positive trends.
There is a lot of talk about how facts and science are not matters of opinion, but with a large gap between what the facts show and the claims being made on that basis.
Democrat Governor Gina Raimondo claims that she makes her decisions based on facts and science, but her restrained move to Phase 3 COVID-19 reopening shows that to be a false pretense.
As the world of COVID-19 news focuses on increased positive tests in Florida and Texas, Rhode Islanders should take not of other interesting (and telling) results.
The story of today’s COVID-19 data release for RI is one of revision. Numbers came in above my projections, but that’s largely because earlier data was revised up.
Rhode Island’s COVID-19 data is coming up to some milestones, and the conversation should start to transition to following economic recovery.
Generally, the trends toward COVID-19 improvement continue in Rhode Island… despite people out and about, following the governor’s rules or following her demonstrated practices.
If RI data is relevant, loosening the economy is not associated with increased COVID-19 problems, although medicine is becoming frighteningly politicized.
It has now been two weeks since the large rally in Providence, including the governor’s naked-faced prayer session in the midst of the crowd.