Looking for Reality with Schrodinger’s President

In the world of media and politics, ignoring reality in order to keep your preferred outcome a live possibility may be an option, but for the sake of a healthy reality it cannot be.

Daring to Look for Perspective on the Pandemic

The attitude of fear that has been fostered by the presentation of COVID-19 to the public has created a terrible atmosphere in which to be making major life-and-society-affecting decisions.

Data Doubts and Games with Models, 7/15/20 Data

Americans are finding ourselves in a position of not knowing whom to trust on COVID-19.

Narrative Battles and Games with Models, 7/13/20 Data

If we see an increase in hospitalizations, it may very well be an indication that fewer people are dying, which is good, and that people are in the hospital for other reasons, which isn’t an indication that COVID is overwhelming our resources.

The COVID Story’s Focus Isn’t Where It Should Be for a Free People

The narratives around COVID-19 may make for an easier and more-fun story to write, but they aren’t what we should demand as a free and independent people… unless that’s not what we are anymore.

Games with Models, 7/8/20 Data

Today’s data release from the state brings more non-dramatic continuation of trends.

On the Cusp of a Downgrade and Games with Models, 7/7/20 Data

As nationwide deaths move COVID-19 toward loss of its “epidemic” status, Rhode Island continues to see improvement.

Games with Models, 7/2/20 Data

The number of new COVID-19 cases in RI was higher today than it’s been, but the number of tests was up, and we’re still under 100.

A Note from Texas and Games with Models, 7/1/20 Data

We’ll see where this goes, but it remains entirely plausible to expect that cases will continue on the increase while serious cases and deaths continue to decline in Texas, while Rhode Island continues on its positive trends.

An Epidemic of Certitude and Games with Models, 6/30/20

There is a lot of talk about how facts and science are not matters of opinion, but with a large gap between what the facts show and the claims being made on that basis.

Raimondo’s Phony Science and Games with Models, 6/29/20 Data

Democrat Governor Gina Raimondo claims that she makes her decisions based on facts and science, but her restrained move to Phase 3 COVID-19 reopening shows that to be a false pretense.

A COVID Toe in the Water, Comorbidities, and Games with Models, 6/26/20 Data

As the world of COVID-19 news focuses on increased positive tests in Florida and Texas, Rhode Islanders should take not of other interesting (and telling) results.

A Century of Slime-Throwing

One hundred years after the Klan scare in Rhode Island, it’s about time for an effective defense to guilt-by-(accusations-of)-association attacks to be found.

Games with Models, 6/25/20 Data

The story of today’s COVID-19 data release for RI is one of revision. Numbers came in above my projections, but that’s largely because earlier data was revised up.

Games with Models, 6/24/20 Data

Rhode Island’s COVID-19 data is coming up to some milestones, and the conversation should start to transition to following economic recovery.

False “Despite” and Games with Models, 6/23/20 Data

Generally, the trends toward COVID-19 improvement continue in Rhode Island… despite people out and about, following the governor’s rules or following her demonstrated practices.

DOH “Whistle-Blower” Summoned to Ominous HR Meeting

An RI Department of Health employee fears retaliation as she’s ordered to attend a meeting with multiple state officials after going public with concerns about nursing home oversight during the COVID-19 pandemic.

“I Can’t Breathe” and Games with Models, 6/22/20 Data

If RI data is relevant, loosening the economy is not associated with increased COVID-19 problems, although medicine is becoming frighteningly politicized.

Games with Models, 6/19/20 Data

It has now been two weeks since the large rally in Providence, including the governor’s naked-faced prayer session in the midst of the crowd.

Games with Models, 6/18/20 Data

Today’s data report is the first since early April that shows fewer than 1,000 “active”cases, defined with the assumption that the average case lasts 14 days.

Games with Models, 6/17/20 Data

The chart of hospitalization projections for this post is extended out to the end of July, by which time the model shows essentially none.

Counterfactual Deaths and Games with Models, 6/16/20 Data

If Rhode Island had taken an approach of masks, hygiene, and social distancing, it isn’t absurd to think the toll of the disease could have been reduced, while also limiting the amount of collateral damage to our economy and to our lives.

Games with Models, 6/15/20 Data

At this point, Rhode Island’s COVID-19 situation is improving so rapidly that adherence to minimum space between each stage of reopening is coming to seem obstinate.

Strong Responses to RIWFP’s COVID-19 Survey

Three weeks ago, Rhode Island Women for Freedom and Prosperity conducted a survey of its Members and Supporters about COVID-19 and Rhode Island’s response. The fifth and last question of the survey was the option to offer a comment on the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown.

Games with Models, 6/12/20 Data

And… we’re back down to double-digit daily new cases of COVID-19 in Rhode Island, according to today’s data release.

Games with Models, 6/11/20 Data

Nationally, the narrative seems to be leaning toward a post-rally/riot return to fear of COVID-19, but in Rhode Island, the daily update is pretty humdrum.

A Look at the Narrative and Games with Models, 6/10/20 Data

Trends in Arizona shouldn’t be taken as the warning sign for Rhode Island some insist it is, and RI isn’t in a position to be lecturing AZ, anyway.

Games with Models, 6/9/20 Data

An interesting observation from today’s COVID-19 data release from the RI Department of Health is that the number of positive cases was actually revised down.

Games with Models, 6/8/20 Data

If recent protests created a new breeding ground for COVID-19, it would have to stop an accelerating improvement of the results.

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