By the Time the Science Filters Through the News

The snow is falling outside the window (again), and upon my desk, figuratively speaking, John Miller has dropped a study showing that Democrats are more likely than Independents or Republicans to believe that astrology is scientific. The group most likely to believe otherwise — and to know both that the Earth revolves around the sun and that it takes a year to do so? Conservative Republicans.

The finding is particularly timely, because I was mulling over Seth Borenstein’s AP article in today’s Providence Journal:

The Arctic grew 8 percent darker between 1979 and 2011, [Ian Eisenman, a climate scientist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in California,] found, measuring how much sunlight is reflected into space. …

[Jason Box of the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland] and University of Colorado ice scientist Waleed Abdalati, who was not part of the research, called the work important in understanding how much heat is getting trapped on Earth.

How such an article could fail to note the interesting facts that Arctic ice is up, in recent years, and that Antarctica has been at historic highs, I don’t know. The intellectually curious conservatives who read this site might be interested to play with this interactive chart on Arctic sea ice “extent.”

“Extent” means the area covered by sea ice, and what one sees is that, while there may have been some downward shift over the decades, 2007 brought a rather sudden downward drop. I’m not sure what to make of that, but it seems like a result that would at least require some work to reconcile it with the idea of a gradual human-caused warming trend and self-reinforcing ice coverage decline.

The world’s an interesting place. It’s too bad the New England Democrats who read the Providence Journal don’t get to ponder it before they turn to the horoscopes on page C6.

Events From 12+ Billion Years Ago Cited as Evidence of Human-Driven Global Warming

Phil Plait, a blogger for Slate magazine, recently linked to a literature-review style “investigation” which claims that only 1 out of 2,258 “peer-reviewed articles in scientific journals over the period from Nov. 12, 2012 through December 31, 2013…rejected man-made global warming”.

Here’s an example of the quality of analysis that went into the literature review.

Paper number 2254 is titled “X-ray emission from high-redshift miniquasars: self-regulating the population of massive black holes through global warming”. The subject of the paper is super-massive black hole formation believed to have occurred in the first billion years of the universe, which the authors attempt to explain in a way that is consistent with the observational record of distant quasars. The “global warming” being referred to has nothing to do with planet Earth. In this paper, it is the name given to a warming of the intergalactic medium, associated with early cosmological objects, that occurred 12-and-a-half-billion years ago (i.e., the 13.7 billion year estimated age of the universe, minus the first billion years, plus or minus a few hundred million).

This is one of the 2,257 papers considered as supporting the consensus that human-driven global warming is occurring.

Anyone claiming the mantle of “science” should realize that events that occurred 12-and a-half billion years ago are not relevant to the particulars of Earth’s climate of the last several centuries — but ironically and dangerously, actually reading a scientific paper and trying to understand what it means and how it fits with other work is more likely to be labeled “anti-science” at the present time, than is taking a decidedly unscientific posture that details matter less than consensus when trying to prove the existence of scientific phenomena.

Economic Competition to Save Environment

Well, this raises some interesting questions:

China approved the construction of more than 100 million tonnes of new coal production capacity in 2013 – six times more than a year earlier and equal to 10 percent of U.S. annual usage – flying in the face of plans to tackle choking air pollution. The scale of the increase, which only includes major mines, reflects Beijing’s aim to put 860 million tonnes of new coal production capacity into operation over the five years to 2015, more than the entire annual output of India. While efforts to curb pollution mean coal’s share of the country’s energy mix is set to dip, the total amount of the cheap and plentiful fuel burned will still rise.

Just brainstorming, here, but it seems to me that the moral urgency of fighting global warming climate change should lead us to deregulate our industries and slash taxes in order kick-start a massive economic boom to enable the United States to better compete with China, thus leading to a shift of economic growth from Asia to the United States.

Then, our heavier reliance on natural gas and overall tendency to be more environmentally conscientious would reduce the amount of pollution from what it otherwise would have been.

At the same time, the smaller government coupled with economic growth would bring the federal budget into balance, and reduce our need to keep seeking loans from the Chinese government, reducing a source of regular revenue that it can use to bankroll dirty coal and military expansion.

When Pesky Facts Get In the Way of Building a Certain Consensus

To second and amplify everything Justin has said: for seventeen years, there has been no global warming trend, despite an inexorable rise of man-generated CO2. This is a development that was not predicted by global warming scientists, whose mantra has been: man-generated greenhouse gases will cause the planet to warm. This seventeen year pause has […]

A Manner of Building a Consensus

An argument over publishing political cartoons by “climate change deniers” raises questions about the institutionalization of an ideology.

UPDATE – Third Icebreaker (and Cracking Ice) Will Hopefully Be the Charm for the Global Warming “Explorer” Ship Trapped in Antarctic Ice

As you may have heard, an explorer ship has been trapped in ice in the Antarctic since December 24. Everyone on board, scientists, tourists and crew, is fine at this point. In addition to commemorating the one hundredth anniversary of the expedition to the Antarctic led by Australian explorer Douglas Mawson, one of the goals […]

Three Questions About a Political Cartoon Today

This cartoon, appearing in the Commentary pages of today’s Providence Journal makes me wonder three things:

  1. How many Providence Journal readers will simply not be able to process it as information?
  2. Was Mike Stenhouse named assistant editorial page editor for the day?
  3. How high will be the wave of outraged letters to the editor?

Climate Change Words and Behavior

Over the weekend, I had an extended Twitter discussion with Philip Eil, news editor of the Providence Phoenix; here’s the (somewhat jumbled) main thread.

During the course of the discussion (in a side thread), Phil asked me for an example of a local global warming advocate who doesn’t quite live like it’s such a dire threat. Of course, nationally, Al Gore is exhibit #1, but it’s an aggregate impression; specific examples come and go. One occurred to me, yesterday, though.

A few years back, with his children off to college and boarding school, Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D, RI) sold one of his two Rhode Island estates and moved permanently into the other. He offloaded the one in East Side Providence and moved into the ocean drive one in Newport. That is, when he had to make a decision about a massive financial asset, he chose to keep the $2.3 million property overlooking the supposedly rising oceans.

As a carpenter, I spent a year working on a house directly across that little inland pond, which was once in large part lined with Whitehouse family properties, and a few more years working on one diagonal and across Ocean Ave. If I’m remembering the architects’ quick structural history lessons correctly, both of those houses sustained massive damage during the hurricane of 1938.

Lots of things go into the decision of which mansion to keep and which to sell, and somebody of Whitehouse’s means might value a few decades of Newport life enough to face the ultimate demise of the property. Nonetheless, I find it hard to ignore the message sent when the guy who declares that “God won’t save us from climate catastrophe,” and attacks political opponents in irrational terms, proceeds to settle his life where that catastrophe will eat away his personal fortune each year.*

 

*Note that there’s a low, easily flooded, strip of land between the pond and the ocean. Until the rising seas erase this distinction, the erosion of personal fortune will not be physical, but a matter of increased risk of owning the property… theoretically.

That Tears It: “New report shows wind power doesn’t reduce CO2 emissions”

Paging the energy Quixotes in the R.I. General Assembly and the Governor’s office. Now there is literally NO reason to continue tilting at wind by foisting on state rate payers the highly expensive energy generated by the proposed, boutique Deepwater Wind project.

From Roger Helmer at The Hockey Schtick. (Emphasis added.)

I’ve just come across a report by energy consultant Duncan Seddon in the Australasian Power Technologies publication. The title is “Do wind farms/gas turbines save carbon?”. (Of course he means “CO2 emissions”, not carbon – but I’m delighted to see the explicit link of turbines plus back-up).

Find the report here, page 25: Hat-tip to Benny Peiser of GWPF for drawing my attention to it.

The answer to the question, in brief, is “on average, no”.

When I read that Rhode Island is pledging to increase electric car use…

… all I can think about is the message to the many Rhode Islanders who are unemployed or otherwise struggling. Namely: You and your suffering are not by a long stretch our top priority. Consider:

The agreement signed Thursday is aimed at coordinating efforts among the eight states so that incentives, zoning laws and other ideas for promoting zero-emission vehicles can be more quickly implemented.

“What I expect will come out of this pact is that Rhode Island will consider the full menu of options for incentivizing electric vehicle purchases and there will be additional charging stations,” said Al Dahlberg, founder of Project GetReady Rhode Island, the local affiliate of the national initiative to promote electric vehicles.

Why are elected officials in Rhode Island even thinking about this sort of thing? No wonder we languish in so many national rankings. No wonder the population is apathetic and feeling as if nothing can change.

Anthropogenic Global Warming: IPCC’s Leaked Adjustment & the Providence Journal Highlights a “Climate Change” Survey That Borders on a Push Poll

A “helpful” and timely survey in the midst of some rough times for anthropogenic global warming advocates.

Global Warming: You Mean There’s a Debate to Be Had?

The global warming debate continues, but at least we’re now to the point of debating whether there is a debate to be had.

Back-Yard-Parking State Employee Got Overtime in Prior Years

As in recent articles from the Current, an investigative report from Tim White, of WPRI, shows another state employee whose funding comes from federal and other sources and whose work practices happen to be deserving of scrutiny.

Sustainable Development’s Hazy Definition in Rhode Island

Largely under the radar, Rhode Island is in the midst of a three year planning process for “sustainable development,” which some critics see as a means of regulating in the name of environmentalism.

Things We Read Today (43), Tuesday

Explaining Rhode Island’s decline in four brief sections: legal process, the economy, the media, and fashionable graft.

Things We Read Today (40), Weekend

What subsidizes green?; what the unions want the pension law to say; First Family Holiday Fame; America, the Special.

Wind Power Supporters Challenge Allegations in Complaint to Attorney General

Contrary to what was alleged in a complaint filed with Attorney General Peter Kilmartin, the East Bay Energy Consortium (EBEC) has pursued a proposed wind power project in a fiscally responsible, open, and transparent manner, according to some of the government figures named in the complaint.

Wind Power Proponents Advance “Unlawful” Scheme at Taxpayer Expense, AG Complaint Says

RI taxpayers could be on the hook for a costly, unworkable wind power project that lacks and discernible environmental benefits if the East Bay Energy Consortium and its partners in government are permitted to overstep legal boundaries, a complaint with the attorney general claims.

Things We Read Today (17), Weekend

Returning RI to its natural state; RI as a playground for the rich; the gimmick of QE; the gimmick of digital records; killing coal/economy; when “Mostly False” means true.

Things We Read Today (13), Tuesday

Days off from retirement in Cranston; the conspiracy of low interest rates; sympathy with the Satanic Verses; the gas mandate; and the weaponized media.

Things We Read Today This Weekend, 6

The topics of hope and hopelessness pervaded this weekend’s readings, from absurd labor rules in schools, to the likely outcome of Make It Happen, to Spencer Dickinson’s insider view, and then to Sandra Fluke.

Wind Turbine Profits Blown Away in Portsmouth

Portsmouth’s wind turbine has run into technical problems, and Rhode Islanders should learn a broader lesson about government in business.

06/05/12 – House Floor & Committee on Environment and Natural Resources

Justin whiles away the evening writing from the State House floor (campaign finance) and House Environment and Natural Resources Committee hearing (EBEC).

Putting the EDC in the Wind Farm Business

A quasi-public wind farm proposal is still flying below most Rhode islanders’ radar and changing shape from month to month, the latest idea being to make it a subsidiary of the EDC.

The High Cost of Mandates, Wind, and Energy

Rhode Island has the seventh highest energy costs, and renewable energy standards are a likely contributor.

04/05/12 – House Floor Session & Committee on Environment and Natural Resources

Justin writes live from the House Committee on Environment and Natural Resources hearing, including (for one thing) creation of a new public consortium with powers of eminent domain.

3.5% of RI Land Preserved

In the past few months, the Department of Environmental Management has purchased land or the development rights for nearly 100 acres of land at a cost just under $1 million.

Sen. Whitehouse on the Left-Right Scale and Chafee on the Left

National Journal ranking of liberal and conservative legislators points to politics and posturing.

The Silence After the Big Arctic Melt

If there really is such a thing as a “tipping point” in global warming, shouldn’t we begin to figure out the “what then” now?

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